AS Eupen 1-0 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.01
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.75
X/2
15%
5.28
X/X
13%
4.39
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.56
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 40%
-15% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.46/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
-8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.5 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Truidense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.54 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
333 Passes 394
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
14.01.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
02.10.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
27.12.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
14.08.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
17.07.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense HAZ
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen squeezed past St. Truidense 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day AS Eupen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AS Eupen and 1.17 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs St. Truidense?

AS Eupen 1-0 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 35%, draw 27%, St. Truidense 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Truidense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Under 2.5
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