Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-4 ML Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.34
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.71
Over
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No Pick
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.67
2-3
43%
1.71
4-5
15%
3.92
6+
7%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.67 — our 35% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
14%
Home Win
16%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.9pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk The Market 19%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Vitebsk The Market 64%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.69/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.25
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ML Vitebsk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0-4
AWAY ML Vitebsk
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs ML Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ML Vitebsk cruised past Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had ML Vitebsk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 44% of the ball to ML Vitebsk's 56%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs ML Vitebsk?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-4 ML Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs ML Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an ML Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 14%, draw 31%, ML Vitebsk 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ML Vitebsk), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ML Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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