Achuapa 1-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Aug 2025

Achuapa
1-2 HT 0-1
Aurora
📅10/08/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Achuapa vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Achuapa v Aurora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards –

Achuapa 1-2 Aurora — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-2
AWAY Aurora
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora edged past Achuapa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Achuapa had 49% of the ball to Aurora's 51%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Aurora?

Achuapa 1-2 Aurora in the Guatemala - National League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 49%, draw 31%, Aurora 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
10 Aug 2025
00:00 Mixco vs Xelaju MC Analysis →
02:00 Guastatoya vs Malacateco Analysis →
04:00 Antigua GFC vs Mictlan Analysis →