Guastatoya 1-2 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.2pp
36%
Draw
30%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.81/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.24
+39% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.02.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 5-2 HT 4-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
08.09.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.04.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
29.10.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.03.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Guastatoya 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 24%) promised a tight game; Malacateco found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malacateco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guastatoya and 1.17 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Malacateco?

Guastatoya 1-2 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 40%, draw 36%, Malacateco 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guastatoya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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