Guastatoya 1-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.95/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.19
+48% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 5-2 HT 4-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
08.09.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.04.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
29.10.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.03.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
01.02.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guastatoya
1-1
AWAY Malacateco
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya and Malacateco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guastatoya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Guastatoya had 60% of the ball to Malacateco's 40%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guastatoya and 1.00 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Malacateco?

Guastatoya 1-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 47%, draw 26%, Malacateco 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guastatoya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
23 Mar 2025
00:00 Coban Imperial vs Marquense Analysis →