Malacateco 5-2 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.9pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.37/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.29
-20% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guastatoya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.04.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
29.10.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.03.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
01.02.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
25.09.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
5-2
AWAY Guastatoya
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco cruised past Guastatoya 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Malacateco as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malacateco had 52% of the ball to Guastatoya's 48%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Malacateco and 1.50 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Guastatoya?

Malacateco 5-2 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 55%, draw 25%, Guastatoya 21%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
16 Feb 2025
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