Guadalupe 3-2 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadalupe EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.54/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.85
+30% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadalupe
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-0 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTK
04.04.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
06.02.2023 Guadalupe Guadalupe 0-1 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
29.09.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Guadalupe Guadalupe KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadalupe
3-2
AWAY Puntarenas FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guadalupe vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalupe edged past Puntarenas FC 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Guadalupe found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guadalupe had 52% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 48%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guadalupe and 0.75 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Guadalupe vs Puntarenas FC?

Guadalupe 3-2 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadalupe vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puntarenas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guadalupe 35%, draw 25%, Puntarenas FC 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Puntarenas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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