SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.8pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.8pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.63/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.23
+0% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
456 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Chayka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Chayka Chayka 0-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
10.09.2024 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
28.03.2021 Chayka Chayka 2-1 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
04.10.2020 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
09.11.2019 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 3-2 HT 2-2 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
1-1
AWAY Chayka
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SKA Khabarovsk vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk and Chayka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had SKA Khabarovsk at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SKA Khabarovsk had 61% of the ball to Chayka's 39%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SKA Khabarovsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SKA Khabarovsk and 0.80 for Chayka.

What was the final score of SKA Khabarovsk vs Chayka?

SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKA Khabarovsk vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a SKA Khabarovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split SKA Khabarovsk 64%, draw 20%, Chayka 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SKA Khabarovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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