AFC Telford United 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
2.15/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.78
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
01.04.2024 Bromsgrove Sporting 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
01.01.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
2-1
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United nicked a narrow win over Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 59% of the ball to Bromsgrove Sporting's 41%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Telford United and 0.50 for Bromsgrove Sporting.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

AFC Telford United 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 51%, draw 27%, Bromsgrove Sporting 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Under 2.5
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