Stamford 3-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
2.04/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.88
+8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stamford
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Barwell
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Stamford Stamford 4-0 HT 2-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
21.10.2023 Barwell Barwell 4-4 HT 1-1 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stamford vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford beat Barwell 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stamford as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stamford had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Stamford and 2.00 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Stamford vs Barwell?

Stamford 3-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stamford 46%, draw 29%, Barwell 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stamford), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stamford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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