24/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Stamford vs Barwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
27%
Draw
24%
37%
Away Win
30%
40%
Under 2.5
38%
60%
Over 2.5
62%
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
46%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stamford v Barwell — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Stamford
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Barwell
EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+9% /
+15%
2.00/1.82
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.64/1.51
+21%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+19%
/
+5%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
330 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.6
Yellow Cards
1.2
Stamford vs Barwell Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Stamford
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Barwell
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
44%
Ball Possession
56%
15
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
21.10.2023
Barwell
4-4
HT 1-1
Stamford
İNGNLP
4-4
HT 1-1
Stamford
İNGNLP
POST-MATCH
Stamford vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Stamford ran out comfortable winners over Barwell 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Stamford made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Stamford vs Barwell?
Stamford 4-0 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stamford vs Barwell?
Before kick-off our model rated an Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stamford 36%, draw 27%, Barwell 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Barwell), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Barwell)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
24 Feb 2024