Blyth Spartans 1-0 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.3pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 40%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.75
-100% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blyth Spartans
1-0
AWAY Workington
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blyth Spartans vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blyth Spartans nicked a narrow win over Workington 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Workington at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blyth Spartans had 57% of the ball to Workington's 43%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Blyth Spartans vs Workington?

Blyth Spartans 1-0 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blyth Spartans vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated an Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Blyth Spartans 28%, draw 28%, Workington 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Workington) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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