Macclesfield 1-0 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.73
No
38%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-6.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+6.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.9pp
38%
BTTS No
46%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
2.46/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.87
+19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ashton United
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 0-2 HT 0-2 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 5-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macclesfield
1-0
AWAY Ashton United
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield nicked a narrow win over Ashton United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Macclesfield had 62% of the ball to Ashton United's 38%, shots finished 22-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Macclesfield had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Macclesfield and 0.00 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Ashton United?

Macclesfield 1-0 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 53%, draw 26%, Ashton United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
10 Sep 2024
21:45 Hitchin Town vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →
21:45 Gloucester City vs Hungerford Town Analysis →
21:45 Worksop Town vs Ilkeston Town Analysis →
21:45 Stamford vs Barwell Analysis →
21:45 Hyde United vs Leek Town Analysis →
21:45 Rylands vs United of Manchester Analysis →