Charlton Athletic U21 1-1 Crewe Alexandra U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
4.0
Over 2.5
72%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.8pp
17%
Draw
15%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.9pp
28%
Under 2.5
22%
+6.1pp
72%
Over 2.5
78%
-6.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.3pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic U21 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.11/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/3.43
+15% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.05.2024 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 1-5 HT 0-2 Charlton Athletic U21 Charlton Athletic U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic U21 and Crewe Alexandra U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Charlton Athletic U21 at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (72%) missed.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Charlton Athletic U21 1-1 Crewe Alexandra U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic U21 62%, draw 17%, Crewe Alexandra U21 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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