Bristol City U21 1-3 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+105% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Burnley U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
27.04.2024 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 2-3 HT 0-1 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Bristol City U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 got the better of Bristol City U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol City U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Bristol City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Bristol City U21 1-3 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bristol City U21 45%, draw 23%, Burnley U21 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bristol City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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