Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Mineiro v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro squeezed past Gremio 2-1.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Atletico Mineiro had 44% of the ball to Gremio's 56%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.83 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.50 for Gremio.
Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Result & Final Score
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 50%, draw 27%, Gremio 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.