Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
4-3
HT 3-2
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Mineiro
BR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro squeezed past Gremio 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Atletico Mineiro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gremio had 27% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 73%, shots finished 11-27, expected goals 2.04 to 2.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gremio and 2.00 for Atletico Mineiro.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro?
Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gremio 39%, draw 30%, Atletico Mineiro 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.