Cruzeiro 3-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.15
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
12%
17.8
X/1
18%
3.49
X/2
6%
10.3
X/X
12%
4.18
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
10%
9.56
2/X
6%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.47/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.54
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.1 Crosses 16.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruzeiro
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.53 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
398 Passes 285
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
24.09.2017 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 0-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
12.06.2017 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
18.07.2013 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
10.07.2013 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 5-0 HT 3-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRK
30.08.2012 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-2 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruzeiro
3-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.75 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
372 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cruzeiro vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro beat Atletico Goianiense 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cruzeiro had 50% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 50%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.75 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.17 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Atletico Goianiense?

Cruzeiro 3-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 47%, draw 30%, Atletico Goianiense 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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