Atletico Goianiense 0-1 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 38% vs market 33.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.55
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
15%
5.86
X/2
11%
4.84
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.49
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.6pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.16/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.28
-9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.6 Crosses 19.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 Passes 422
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2017 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 0-2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
12.06.2017 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
18.07.2013 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BRK
10.07.2013 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 5-0 HT 3-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BRK
30.08.2012 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-2 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
21.05.2012 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
0-1
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.48 xG 0.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruzeiro nicked a narrow win over Atletico Goianiense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cruzeiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 46% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 54%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.48 to 0.53 — on chances, Atletico Goianiense could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 2.00 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Cruzeiro?

Atletico Goianiense 0-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 33%, draw 31%, Cruzeiro 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruzeiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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