Fortaleza vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Botafogo
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
1-3
HT 0-2
Botafogo
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Fortaleza
BR1
1-2
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
Fortaleza 1-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza and Botafogo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Fortaleza at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fortaleza had 43% of the ball to Botafogo's 57%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.61 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fortaleza and 1.83 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Botafogo?
Fortaleza 1-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 46%, draw 29%, Botafogo 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortaleza), BTTS No went the other way.