Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Sep 2024

Corinthians
2-1 HT 1-1
Flamengo
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Corinthians vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.71
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.77
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.93
X/2
13%
5.65
X/X
17%
3.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.56
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Corinthians v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.21/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.35
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.2 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Corinthians vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Flamengo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 0.85
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
352 Passes 436
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
08.10.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
21.05.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
03.11.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
20.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
13.10.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK

Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
2-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.60 xG 1.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
262 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians squeezed past Flamengo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Corinthians had 43% of the ball to Flamengo's 57%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.60 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Corinthians and 1.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Flamengo?

Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 38%, draw 29%, Flamengo 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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