Lihtenştayn 1-0 Hong Kong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.87
6+ Goals
6%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lihtenştayn EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lihtenştayn
1-0
AWAY Hong Kong
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lihtenştayn vs Hong Kong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lihtenştayn edged past Hong Kong 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Lihtenştayn found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lihtenştayn had 45% of the ball to Hong Kong's 55%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Lihtenştayn vs Hong Kong?

Lihtenştayn 1-0 Hong Kong in the Friendlies on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lihtenştayn vs Hong Kong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lihtenştayn win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lihtenştayn 37%, draw 33%, Hong Kong 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lihtenştayn), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lihtenştayn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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