Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-0 Shahre Raz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
41%
2.88
Away
24%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
13%
6.41
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
30%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.6pp
41%
Draw
31%
+9.6pp
24%
Away Win
36%
-12.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.0pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahre Raz EU Bookmakers 40%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.47/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+150% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Shahre Raz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.03.2024 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-1 HT 1-1 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz IRANAZ
20.10.2023 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz 1-2 HT 0-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Shahre Raz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Masjed Soleyman squeezed past Shahre Raz 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft Masjed Soleyman had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naft Masjed Soleyman and 1.00 for Shahre Raz.

What was the final score of Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Shahre Raz?

Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-0 Shahre Raz in the Iran - Azadegan League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Shahre Raz?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naft Masjed Soleyman 35%, draw 41%, Shahre Raz 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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