Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-1 Shahre Raz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 27 Mar 2024

📅27/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.72
Draw
17%
3.45
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.52
Over 2.5
51%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.25
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
5.48
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
55%
+9.7pp
17%
Draw
26%
-9.5pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
62%
-13.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
38%
+13.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.0pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahre Raz EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.49/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.68
+7% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shahre Raz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.10.2023 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz 1-2 HT 0-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Shahre Raz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Masjed Soleyman squeezed past Shahre Raz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naft Masjed Soleyman as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Shahre Raz?

Naft Masjed Soleyman 2-1 Shahre Raz in the Iran - Azadegan League on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Shahre Raz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Masjed Soleyman win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Naft Masjed Soleyman 65%, draw 17%, Shahre Raz 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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