Fajr Sepasi 1-0 D. Babol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 27 Mar 2024

📅27/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
No
70%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.7pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY D. Babol EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.69/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.17
+0% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY D. Babol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.10.2023 D. Babol D. Babol 2-2 HT 0-1 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
22.04.2023 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 4-1 HT 0-0 D. Babol D. Babol IRANAZ
12.11.2022 D. Babol D. Babol 3-0 HT 2-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs D. Babol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi nicked a narrow win over D. Babol 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fajr Sepasi as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 2.00 for D. Babol.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs D. Babol?

Fajr Sepasi 1-0 D. Babol in the Iran - Azadegan League on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs D. Babol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 62%, draw 21%, D. Babol 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fajr Sepasi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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