Mes Soongoun 1-0 Esteghlal Mollasani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 27 Mar 2024

📅27/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
39%
2.94
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
29%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
39%
Draw
30%
+9.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.0pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Mollasani EU Bookmakers 27%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.35/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.05
+8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Soongoun
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Esteghlal Mollasani
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.10.2023 Esteghlal Mollasani Esteghlal Mollasani 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Soongoun vs Esteghlal Mollasani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun edged past Esteghlal Mollasani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 39% / 21%) promised a tight game; Mes Soongoun found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Mes Soongoun vs Esteghlal Mollasani?

Mes Soongoun 1-0 Esteghlal Mollasani in the Iran - Azadegan League on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Soongoun vs Esteghlal Mollasani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Soongoun win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mes Soongoun 40%, draw 39%, Esteghlal Mollasani 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Soongoun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mes Soongoun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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