27/03/2024
·
18:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
25%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Draw
★★
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
38%
Draw
32%
25%
Away Win
28%
64%
Under 2.5
70%
36%
Over 2.5
30%
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
56%
BTTS No
62%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mes Kerman v Ario Eslamshahr — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mes Kerman
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ario Eslamshahr
EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
0.85/0.35
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.43/1.01
-23%
/
+107%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-43%
/
+1%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
341 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
304 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mes Kerman
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Ario Eslamshahr
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
21.10.2023
Ario Eslamshahr
1-2
HT 0-1
Mes Kerman
IRANAZ
1-2
HT 0-1
Mes Kerman
IRANAZ
POST-MATCH
Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mes Kerman saw off Ario Eslamshahr 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 38% / 25% — and on the day Mes Kerman made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Mes Kerman 2-0 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 27/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mes Kerman 37%, draw 38%, Ario Eslamshahr 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRANAZ
More Iran - Azadegan League
27 Mar 2024