Atletico Nacional 1-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 10 Oct 2024

Atletico Nacional
1-1 HT 0-0
Deportivo Cali
📅10/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.68
Over
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No Pick
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Cali — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.33/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.31
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.3 Crosses 13.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
326 Passes 250
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
07.08.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
13.02.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
19.09.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
22.03.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 3-3 HT 3-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
09.12.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL

Atletico Nacional 1-1 Deportivo Cali — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.74 xG 0.68
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
347 Passes 190
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Cali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 38%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.67 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?

Atletico Nacional 1-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 47%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cali 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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