Ferro Carril vs Oriental Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ferro Carril v Oriental — Team-Based Signals
Ferro Carril 2-1 Oriental — Actual Match Statistics
Ferro Carril nicked a narrow win over Oriental 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Oriental at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ferro Carril had 51% of the ball to Oriental's 49%, shots finished 15-16.
What was the final score of Ferro Carril vs Oriental?
Ferro Carril 2-1 Oriental in the Uruguay Cup on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ferro Carril vs Oriental?
Before kick-off our model rated an Oriental win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril 28%, draw 22%, Oriental 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.