10/10/2024
·
02:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
4-0
2nd Score
3-0
Plaza Colonia vs Piriápolis Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
80%
23%
Draw
13%
21%
Away Win
7%
48%
Under 2.5
38%
52%
Over 2.5
62%
39%
BTTS Yes
30%
61%
BTTS No
70%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plaza Colonia v Piriápolis — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Plaza Colonia
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Piriápolis
EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
61%
Ball Possession
39%
15
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
423 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
210 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Plaza Colonia vs Piriápolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Plaza Colonia squeezed past Piriápolis 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Plaza Colonia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Piriápolis?
Plaza Colonia 1-0 Piriápolis in the Uruguay Cup on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Piriápolis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 56%, draw 23%, Piriápolis 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plaza Colonia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Plaza Colonia)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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10 Oct 2024