Plaza Colonia 1-0 Piriápolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.18
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.95
No
61%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
80%
-24.2pp
23%
Draw
13%
+9.4pp
21%
Away Win
7%
+14.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
30%
+8.9pp
61%
BTTS No
70%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Piriápolis EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Plaza Colonia vs Piriápolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plaza Colonia squeezed past Piriápolis 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Plaza Colonia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Piriápolis?

Plaza Colonia 1-0 Piriápolis in the Uruguay Cup on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Piriápolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 56%, draw 23%, Piriápolis 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plaza Colonia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plaza Colonia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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10 Oct 2024
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