Central Valley Fuego 1-0 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 43%
-23% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.33/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.56
-21% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
21.0 Crosses 9.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Valley Fuego
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.31 xG 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
16 Corners 1
336 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
49 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 3-2 HT 3-1 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Valley Fuego
1-0
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.05 xG 1.03
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
251 Passes 514
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Central Valley Fuego vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Valley Fuego edged past Spokane Velocity 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Central Valley Fuego found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Valley Fuego had 36% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 64%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.05 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Central Valley Fuego vs Spokane Velocity?

Central Valley Fuego 1-0 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Valley Fuego vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Central Valley Fuego 36%, draw 23%, Spokane Velocity 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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