Spokane Velocity 3-2 Central Valley Fuego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.95/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.25
-16% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.4 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
3-2
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
3.00 xG 2.31
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 27
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 16
277 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 49
7 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Central Valley Fuego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity nicked a narrow win over Central Valley Fuego 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spokane Velocity as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 45% of the ball to Central Valley Fuego's 55%, shots finished 10-27, expected goals 3.00 to 2.31.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Central Valley Fuego?

Spokane Velocity 3-2 Central Valley Fuego in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Central Valley Fuego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 43%, draw 28%, Central Valley Fuego 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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