Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-3 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.0pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.3pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.20/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.96
+49% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 82%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
17.8 Crosses 29.0
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Forward Madison
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-0 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.06.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-0 HT 2-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
11.09.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-5 HT 1-4 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
14.08.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-1 HT 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
03.04.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1-3
AWAY Forward Madison
1.11 xG 2.07
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
190 Passes 362
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison beat Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Forward Madison made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 40% of the ball to Forward Madison's 60%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.11 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.00 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-3 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 27%, draw 33%, Forward Madison 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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