Northern Colorado vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northern Colorado v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Northern Colorado vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Lexington
USL1
3-4
HT 2-1
Lexington
USL1
2-2
HT 1-2
Northern Colorado
USL1
Northern Colorado 5-1 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Northern Colorado ran out comfortable winners over Lexington 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Northern Colorado as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Northern Colorado had 48% of the ball to Lexington's 52%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 3.90 to 0.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Northern Colorado and 2.00 for Lexington.
What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs Lexington?
Northern Colorado 5-1 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northern Colorado vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Northern Colorado 61%, draw 17%, Lexington 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Colorado), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.