Union Omaha 3-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 8 Sep 2024

📅08/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +7%
1.64/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.54
+12% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.9 Crosses 15.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 253
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
27.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
11.06.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
25.05.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-3 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
18.09.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.07.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
3-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.79 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
307 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha beat Greenville Triumph 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 53% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 47%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.79 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Omaha and 1.00 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?

Union Omaha 3-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 44%, draw 25%, Greenville Triumph 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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