Nikaragua 0-3 Haiti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2025

Nikaragua
0-3 HT 0-2
Haiti
📅10/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Nikaragua vs Haiti Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 35% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nikaragua v Haiti — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nikaragua EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Haiti EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Nikaragua vs Haiti Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nikaragua
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Haiti
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
373 Passes 119
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
13 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
09.06.2021 Haiti Haiti 1-0 HT 0-0 Nikaragua Nikaragua DKE
21.06.2019 Nikaragua Nikaragua 0-2 HT 0-2 Haiti Haiti GK

Nikaragua 0-3 Haiti — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nikaragua
0-3
AWAY Haiti
0.61 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
322 Passes 237
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 12
35 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nikaragua vs Haiti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haiti ran out comfortable winners over Nikaragua 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Haiti made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nikaragua had 56% of the ball to Haiti's 44%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.61 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Haiti led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nikaragua and 1.50 for Haiti.

What was the final score of Nikaragua vs Haiti?

Nikaragua 0-3 Haiti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nikaragua vs Haiti?

Before kick-off our model rated an Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nikaragua 31%, draw 28%, Haiti 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haiti) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haiti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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