Togo 0-1 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 35% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Togo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 28.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Togo
1W-0D-4L
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
246 Passes 236
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0 HT 1-0 Togo Togo DKE
24.01.2017 Togo Togo 1-3 HT 0-1 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AFUK
08.09.2013 Togo Togo 2-1 HT 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti DKE
10.06.2012 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 2-0 HT 1-0 Togo Togo DKE
21.01.2006 Togo Togo 0-2 HT 0-1 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Togo
0-1
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Togo vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti edged past Togo 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Togo had 62% of the ball to D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti's 38%, shots finished 5-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Togo and 1.80 for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Togo vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti?

Togo 0-1 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Togo vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated an D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Togo 26%, draw 26%, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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