Kuzey Makedonya U21 2-1 Ermenistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
7%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 32% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan U21 EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.86/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.16
-14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Ermenistan U21
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.06.2023 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 1-1 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 Dünya - U21 Hazırlık Maçları Ülkeler
02.06.2022 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 3-1 HT 1-1 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 U21
12.10.2021 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 1-2 HT 0-1 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 U21
11.09.2018 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 3-3 HT 1-0 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 U21
05.09.2017 Ermenistan U21 Ermenistan U21 0-3 HT 0-2 Kuzey Makedonya U21 Kuzey Makedonya U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya U21
2-1
AWAY Ermenistan U21
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Ermenistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya U21 edged past Ermenistan U21 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kuzey Makedonya U21 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya U21 had 53% of the ball to Ermenistan U21's 47%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya U21 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Kuzey Makedonya U21 and 1.20 for Ermenistan U21.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Ermenistan U21?

Kuzey Makedonya U21 2-1 Ermenistan U21 in the European U21 on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya U21 vs Ermenistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya U21 54%, draw 25%, Ermenistan U21 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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