Letonya U21 1-1 Gürcistan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 10 Oct 2025

📅10/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
55%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
55%
Away Win
55%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Gürcistan U21 EU Bookmakers 59%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.07/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.34
-93% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Letonya U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gürcistan U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.51
38% Ball Possession 62%
26.03.2023 Letonya U21 Letonya U21 0-1 Gürcistan U21 Gürcistan U21 HAZ
POST-MATCH Letonya U21 vs Gürcistan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Letonya U21 and Gürcistan U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gürcistan U21 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Letonya U21 vs Gürcistan U21?

Letonya U21 1-1 Gürcistan U21 in the European U21 on 10/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya U21 vs Gürcistan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gürcistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Letonya U21 20%, draw 25%, Gürcistan U21 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gürcistan U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gürcistan U21) ✓ Under 2.5
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