Illescas 1-3 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
33%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
72%
-4.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
28%
+4.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.2pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illescas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.39/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.21
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Illescas
1-3
AWAY Melilla
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Illescas vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla got the better of Illescas 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Melilla found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Illescas had 62% of the ball to Melilla's 38%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Illescas vs Melilla?

Illescas 1-3 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illescas vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Illescas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Illescas 39%, draw 30%, Melilla 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Illescas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
10 Nov 2024
13:15 Sant Andreu vs Mallorca II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Mostoles Analysis →
14:00 Tenerife II vs Union Adarve Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Talavera CF Analysis →
14:00 Villanovense vs Cadiz II Analysis →