La Union Atletico 1-0 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 48%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -9%
1.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.90
+43% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
1W-0D-1L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
08.10.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 3-1 HT 3-1 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
1-0
AWAY UCAM Murcia
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico squeezed past UCAM Murcia 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was UCAM Murcia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 43% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 57%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for La Union Atletico and 1.50 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia?

La Union Atletico 1-0 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 31%, draw 25%, UCAM Murcia 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
10 Nov 2024
13:15 Sant Andreu vs Mallorca II Analysis →
13:30 Getafe II vs Mostoles Analysis →
14:00 Tenerife II vs Union Adarve Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Talavera CF Analysis →
14:00 Illescas vs Melilla Analysis →
14:00 Villanovense vs Cadiz II Analysis →