Huachipato 1-0 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.26/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.33
-29% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
26.1 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huachipato
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nublense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 Nublense Nublense 3-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
04.12.2023 Nublense Nublense 0-1 HT 0-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
14.05.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-0 HT 2-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
22.10.2022 Nublense Nublense 2-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
28.09.2022 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİLİK
25.09.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 1-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
1-0
AWAY Nublense
2.00 xG 0.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
341 Passes 227
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato nicked a narrow win over Nublense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Huachipato made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Huachipato had 59% of the ball to Nublense's 41%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.00 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Huachipato's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Huachipato and 1.17 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Nublense?

Huachipato 1-0 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 38%, draw 29%, Nublense 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huachipato) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huachipato) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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