U. Catolica 1-2 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.49/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.43
+24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.7 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
377 Passes 187
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.06.2024 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-0 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
24.07.2023 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
04.02.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-1 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
04.07.2022 U. Catolica 2-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
06.02.2022 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-3 HT 2-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
19.11.2020 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-1 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
1-2
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.61 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
296 Passes 157
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido edged past U. Catolica 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was U. Catolica at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, U. Catolica had 62% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 38%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.61 to 0.71 — on chances, U. Catolica could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for U. Catolica and 1.50 for Coquimbo Unido.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Coquimbo Unido?

U. Catolica 1-2 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 45%, draw 29%, Coquimbo Unido 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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