Karlsruher SC 1-1 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
34%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
15%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
11%
4.36
X/2
10%
9.43
X/X
10%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.4
2/2
13%
6.48
2/X
11%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.68/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.72
-10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
25.0 Crosses 19.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.52 xG 0.22
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
332 Passes 193
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2019 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-4 HT 0-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL3
08.12.2018 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 5-0 HT 3-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
31.03.2018 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
21.10.2017 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-1 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL3
20.04.2013 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 2-1 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL3
27.10.2012 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
1-1
AWAY Preussen Münster
0.65 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
342 Passes 372
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC and Preussen Münster couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Karlsruher SC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 49% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 51%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.65 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Karlsruher SC and 0.83 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Preussen Münster?

Karlsruher SC 1-1 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 46%, draw 26%, Preussen Münster 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlsruher SC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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