Elversberg 3-1 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.98
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
13%
6.01
X/2
10%
5.41
X/X
10%
4.64
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
17%
3.43
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.33/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.46
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
13.9 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Hannover 96
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 Passes 407
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.01.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 2-2 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
29.07.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 1-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
3-1
AWAY Hannover 96
1.54 xG 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 2
258 Passes 344
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg got the better of Hannover 96 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Elversberg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Elversberg had 46% of the ball to Hannover 96's 54%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.54 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elversberg and 2.00 for Hannover 96.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Hannover 96?

Elversberg 3-1 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 40%, draw 25%, Hannover 96 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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