Elversberg 2-2 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Jan 2024

Elversberg
2-2 HT 0-1
Hannover 96
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Elversberg vs Hannover 96 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.58
X/2
10%
7.16
X/X
9%
4.88
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
14%
5.09
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elversberg v Hannover 96 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 31%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.11/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.55
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.2 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Elversberg vs Hannover 96 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hannover 96
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 1-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2

Elversberg 2-2 Hannover 96 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
2-2
AWAY Hannover 96
1.02 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
349 Passes 407
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg and Hannover 96 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Elversberg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Elversberg had 48% of the ball to Hannover 96's 52%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.02 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Hannover 96?

Elversberg 2-2 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 46%, draw 25%, Hannover 96 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elversberg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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