St. Pauli 2-0 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Jan 2024

St. Pauli
2-0 HT 1-0
Kaiserslautern
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

St. Pauli vs Kaiserslautern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.85
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.8
X/1
21%
3.65
X/2
7%
12.15
X/X
14%
5.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.6
2/2
8%
9.59
2/X
7%
17.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v Kaiserslautern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.56/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.72
-7% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
425 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.5 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

St. Pauli vs Kaiserslautern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
380 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.07.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
12.02.2023 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
07.08.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
17.03.2018 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
13.10.2017 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
05.05.2017 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2

St. Pauli 2-0 Kaiserslautern — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
2-0
AWAY Kaiserslautern
3.45 xG 1.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
440 Passes 294
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli got the better of Kaiserslautern 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Pauli as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, St. Pauli had 57% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 43%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 3.45 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Pauli and 1.00 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Kaiserslautern?

St. Pauli 2-0 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 51%, draw 29%, Kaiserslautern 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✗ BTTS Yes
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