Schalke 04 0-2 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Jan 2024

Schalke 04
0-2 HT 0-2
Hamburg
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Schalke 04 vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.55
1/2
6%
23.45
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
15%
6.1
X/2
10%
5.75
X/X
12%
5.65
2/1
10%
24.7
2/2
19%
3.27
2/X
8%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
2.21/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.47
+62% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.4 Crosses 17.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Schalke 04 vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hamburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.00 xG 2.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
249 Passes 357
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.07.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 5-3 HT 1-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
18.12.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
23.07.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-3 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
07.04.2018 Hamburg Hamburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
19.11.2017 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
13.05.2017 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-1 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL1

Schalke 04 0-2 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
0-2
AWAY Hamburg
1.02 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
336 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 17
41 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg got the better of Schalke 04 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hamburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 56% of the ball to Hamburg's 44%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.02 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Schalke 04 and 2.17 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Hamburg?

Schalke 04 0-2 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 39%, draw 27%, Hamburg 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024
15:00 Nürnberg vs Hansa Rostock Analysis →
15:00 Elversberg vs Hannover 96 Analysis →
15:00 St. Pauli vs Kaiserslautern Analysis →