Nürnberg 3-0 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Jan 2024

Nürnberg
3-0 HT 2-0
Hansa Rostock
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Nürnberg vs Hansa Rostock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.49
X/2
10%
7.83
X/X
18%
5.17
2/1
9%
22.6
2/2
15%
5.45
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Hansa Rostock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.15/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.52
-32% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.3 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Nürnberg vs Hansa Rostock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
355 Passes 241
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-2 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AFK
30.07.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
21.05.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
09.11.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
26.02.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
17.09.2021 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2

Nürnberg 3-0 Hansa Rostock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
3-0
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.45 xG 0.34
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
267 Passes 417
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg cruised past Hansa Rostock 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Nürnberg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nürnberg had 39% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 61%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.45 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nürnberg and 0.83 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Hansa Rostock?

Nürnberg 3-0 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 40%, draw 29%, Hansa Rostock 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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