Hannover 96 II 0-4 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.51
Over Pick
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
20%
5.61
2-3
36%
2.02
4-5
28%
2.63
6+
16%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.12
1/2
7%
21.45
1/X
11%
12.8
X/1
9%
6.86
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
8%
6.0
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
22%
2.83
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.25/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.41
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
23.6 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96 II
0-4
AWAY Ingolstadt
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 3
361 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 II vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt ran out comfortable winners over Hannover 96 II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ingolstadt as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Hannover 96 II had 53% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 47%, shots finished 6-20.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 II vs Ingolstadt?

Hannover 96 II 0-4 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 II vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 II 32%, draw 25%, Ingolstadt 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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